Lake Tahoe Real Estate Market News

CONGRESS SENDS PRESIDENT STIMULUS PACKAGE
FINAL BILL INCLUDES INCREASED LOAN LIMITS

Thanks in part to lobbying by C.A.R. and NAR members, the Senate passed their version of an economic stimulus package today, Thursday, February 07, 2008. The Senate version expands rebate checks for seniors and disabled veterans and includes the same increases to the conforming loan limits for both GSE and FHA found in the House stimulus package. The House just passed the Senate version of the bill and it will now be sent to the White House. The President is expected to sign the legislation by the end of next week, ahead of the Congressional self-appointed deadline of February 15th. The increase in the conforming loan limits will last through 2008, but C.A.R. and NAR continue to lobby for FHA and GSE reform, making these increases permanent.

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a stimulus package last week that raised the FHA and conforming loan limits to as high as $729,750 in high-cost areas. By increasing the loan limits, borrowers will see immediate relief with new liquidity in the mortgage market and the nation will see an additional 300,000 home sales. Research shows that an increase in the FHA limit would enable an additional 138,000 Americans to purchase homes, and 200,000 families to refinance their homes safely and affordably.

Increasing the FHA loan limits is critical to bolstering California’s housing market. Current law restricts FHA loans to levels well below the median home price in many areas of the country and caps loans in high cost states at $363,790. These limits are preventing many homebuyers from using FHA to purchase or refinance their loan. The proposed provision will increase FHA loan limits nationwide by raising the floor to $271,050 and the limit to 125% of local median home prices.

Additionally, raising Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s (GSEs) conforming loan limit will provide immediate relief to borrowers and alleviate downward pressure on current housing markets. For instance, increasing the GSE loan limit could result in more than 300,000 additional home sales and strengthen current home prices by 2-3%.

The critical role that GSEs play in providing liquidity to the mortgage market has never been more evident than it is today. The national subprime meltdown has had a dramatic impact on both the cost and availability of mortgages in many markets. Since August 2007, the interest rates for jumbo borrowers have been more than 1 percentage point higher than conforming loans, which can cost homeowners up to $400 month in higher interest payments.

MORE CALIFORNIANS CAN AFFORD TO BUY THEIR FIRST HOME

According to the California Association of Realtors at least a third of California households could afford to purchase their first home during the last 3 months of 2007. That is a rather dramatic increase from 25% affordability just a year ago. C.A.R. calculates first-time buyer affordability based on the minimum household income required to make a 10 percent down payment and secure an adjustable interest rate loan at 6.21 percent.

In South Lake Tahoe, the median price of a home has declined over the past 12 months, now making home ownership viable for many that may have previously thought an entry level home was out of reach.

Statewide, the median price of a single family home has dropped in price by some 16.5% during the past year. Although, not nearly that dramatic in South Shore, or for Lake Tahoe real estate in general, there have been price declines which now allow qualification for home ownership to many that may have been excluded before.

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30 AND 15 YEAR MORTGAGE RATES SEE SIGNIFICANT DROPS

McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.87 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending March 20, 2008, down from last week when it averaged 6.13 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.16 percent.

"Mortgage rates fell this week as various actions were taken to improve market liquidity," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "In addition, the inflation report from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflected weaker price increases than consensus expectations. Unchanged in February both including and excluding food and energy costs, it is the first time the core CPI did not report a monthly increase since November 2006.

"Meanwhile, retail sales fell by 0.6 percent in February, contrary to the consensus forecast of a 0.2 percent increase, signaling that the condition of the economy might be weaker than previously thought. Slowing consumer spending and weak employment conditions are among the concerns behind the Fed's decision to lower the target federal funds rate by 0.75 percentage points in the most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting."