I attended the National Association of Realtors annual convention and do so most every year to participate and take note of the trends effecting the economy and the housing market so that we can be on the cutting edge of our industry. I have had the pleasure serving the NAR on its Resort and Second Home Committee for the past several years and will be serving as the Vice Chair and Chair (god willing) during the next two years.

Here's the latest from the economists and prognosticators:

Transition and the Economy-

The news to report is mixed, much was relayed on the transition of government, everyone agreed we needed change and we got change.

There was a great deal of discussion on the economy naturally and on the GSEs (Gov't sponsored enterprises) now transitioning to GOEs (Gov't owned Enterprise) as the Bail out, stimulus bill are being rolled out.

Help is on the way in the credit sector, whether you like it or not (the plan), there will be relief from debt, consolidations, modifications, buy downs and general affordable credit made available to the those who need it the most, our home owners that are under water!

Regulations will be put in place to monitor the bail out process and the financial institutions that will be receiving the funds to distribute to"qualified" home owners.

Defaults, delinquent loans and Foreclosures are still on the increase as a result of the sub prime and variable interest rates loan that have become unaffordable for many, often times equaling more than the homes are worth said Chairman Lockhart of the FHFA Agency.

The interesting dynamic at play however, is that in many areas in the country, the buyers including first home buyers and investors, are coming into the market place in substantial numbers, as a result of the attractive declining prices that foreclosures, short sales and distressed sale have brought to the real estate market.

We have a future-Slightly hazy...

Dr Yun, NARs Chief Economist, forecasts that the "recessionary like" economy will see some relief by the 3rd and 4th qtrs of 2009 fueled by the influx of funds from the monetary markets not only to the housing sector but also the manufacturing, energy and green job development.

On the longer term forecast he was optimistic that the housing market would see increased demand based on the growing population and immigrations and the shortage of new development, supply and demand. Other factors he noted included the international and overall demand for our "recent attractively priced" housing and the opportunity for a secure and decent "roi", pressure to diversify ones portfolio (that which left of it) including commercial and industrial property.

Opportunity knocks and the Local Market-

70 million baby boomers, first time homebuyers, internationals and investors are still poised to buy an affordable home, lifestyle and investment property but have been cautiously waiting on the opportunity and the market.

Real Estate in comparison to other investment platforms such as the stock market, has fared far better, historically has continued to draw good appreciation and most of all...can be enjoyed!

Our resort realestate market has survived the turbulent ride better than much of California and many other markets that overbuilt propelled by the insatiable demand of the investment market.

The Lake Tahoe basin has some built in supply factors, inherent with the slow growth environmental policies which helped insulate the area to some extent.

That said however the market has seen a decline in median home price of approx 20% over the past 2.5 years driven by the foreclosures, short sales and motivated sellers.

The good news is that inventory is down (as compared to the past year) 10% approx and pending a sales are up by over 20%.

As long as the interest rates and the flow of money holds, I'm forecasting a continued increase in pending sales and closed escrows, even in this beleaguered economy.

Real Estate represents a sound investment at this time.

I'll send you Dr Yun's report as soon as it is out, however I've attached the International home buyer's profile for your review as it is a dynamic at play in our market.

Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours.

Best Wishes,

Deb Howard
Deb Howard & Company
Lake Tahoe's Real Estate Resource
866-542-2912 toll free
530-542-8657 fax
deb@realtordeb.com
www.realtordeb.com
3599 Lake Tahoe Blvd. Ste A
South Lake Tahoe, CA 96150

We’ve seen some more activity in the South Lake Tahoe foreclosure market. Ten foreclosure properties went into escrow here within the last 13 days! There are 3 new foreclosure listings. The most interesting of these is at 2188 Pinewood Drive. It’s a huge 2,915 square foot home that was built in 2004. With a $435,000 list price, there’s an incredible bidding war going on for that property. Expect it to close well above list price.

It’s a busy Friday, so that’s all for now! I hope all you guys have a great weekend. If you want information on upcoming foreclosures, call me at (530) 545-1831.

There are 14 foreclosure properties in South Lake Tahoe today. Four homes are new since I last published it two weeks ago. I’m surprised that only two foreclosures went into escrow since the last list. In that same time frame, 32 homes & condos went into escrow. That’s a lot for South Lake Tahoe, so it’s not like buyers have slowed down at all.

A couple properties stand out on this list. 602 Wintoon Dr. was reduced $30,000 a couple days ago and is an incredible buy. 3549 Morton Dr. was listed yesterday. It’s on 3/4 of an acre and backs to the South Upper Truckee River.

As usual, I have more information on properties that will become foreclosures. However, I don’t feel at liberty to publish this information on the internet. If you are interested in those properties or the ones on this list, call me at (530) 545-1831.

Here is the latest foreclosure list for South Lake Tahoe. There are 11 foreclosures on the market. They are all single-family residences (no condos or multiplexes).

Since the last foreclosure list, there have been a few interesting developments in the foreclosure market. A few properties were just listed. The only one I’m really excited about, though, is 2604 Knox Ave. It is located on a rare 1/4 acre lot in Sierra Tract. I think there could be a ton of value in that purchase. I’ll drive by it tomorrow and post a comment with my thoughts on it.

The only other foreclosure steal that is new to my list is 2508 Cold Creek Trl. It fell out of escrow recently. It’s located in Montgomery Estates, which is one of the most prestigious neighborhoods in town.

There were some significant price reductions on the foreclosure list. In the last two weeks 2587 Kubel Ave. went into escrow, fell out, and then saw a 10% price reduction down to $224,900. Wow! 3705 Montreal Rd. also experienced a huge reduction. It went from $339,900 to $309,000. Both these properties could be sold before my next list comes out in two weeks. (Montreal may remain because it needs a ton of work.) 1612 Choctaw was reduced $24,500 to $474,500.

I have more information on properties that will become foreclosures. However, I don’t feel at liberty to publish this information on the internet. If you are interested in those properties or the ones on this list, call me at (530) 545-1831.